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USD/CNH Technical Analysis - USD/CNH Trading: 2025-01-20
USD/CNH Technical Analysis Summary
Below 7.3182
Sell Stop
Above 7.3551
Stop Loss
| Indicator | Signal |
| RSI | Neutral |
| MACD | Sell |
| Donchian Channel | Neutral |
| MA(200) | Buy |
| Fractals | Neutral |
| Parabolic SAR | Sell |
USD/CNH Chart Analysis
USD/CNH Technical Analysis
The technical analysis of the USDCNH price chart on 4-hour timeframe shows USDCNH,H4 is retracing down toward the 200-period moving average MA(200) after rebounding to one-week high last session. We believe the bearish movement will continue after the price breaches below the lower bound of the Donchian channel at 7.31820. A level below this can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to sell. The stop loss can be placed above 7.35510. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved to the next fractal high indicator, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level without reaching the order, we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.
Fundamental Analysis of Forex - USD/CNH
China’s economy grew faster than the forecast in furth quarter of 2024. Will the USDCNH price retracing down persist?
The National Bureau of Statistics reported on Friday China’s economy grew 5.4% in the fourth quarter from a year earlier after 4.6% growth in third quarter when a 5% increase was expected. The economy expanded 5.0% for the full-year 2024, meeting the government’s annual growth target of around 5%. China’s industrial output growth and retail sales were above forecast too for December: China’s Industrial Production rose by 6.2% over year in December after a growth of 5.4% in November when a steady growth was forecast. At the same time retail sales increased by 3.7% over year in December, up from 3% in November. Accelerating Chinese economic expansion is bullish for Chinese currency and bearish for USDCNH pair.
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