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USD/JPY Technical Analysis - USD/JPY Trading: 2025-03-19
USD/JPY Technical Analysis Summary
Above 149.73
Buy Stop
Below 149.14
Stop Loss
| Indicator | Signal |
| RSI | Neutral |
| MACD | Buy |
| Donchian Channel | Neutral |
| MA(200) | Buy |
| Fractals | Buy |
| Parabolic SAR | Buy |
USD/JPY Chart Analysis
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
The USDJPY technical analysis of the price chart on 1-hour timeframe shows USDJPY: H1 is rebounding above the 200-period moving average MA(200) after retracing lower following a climb to two-week high yesterday. We believe the bullish movement will continue after the price breaches above the upper bound of the Donchian channel at 149.73. A level above this can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to buy. The stop loss can be placed below 149.14. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved to the next fractal low indicator, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level without reaching the order, we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.
Fundamental Analysis of Forex - USD/JPY
Japan’s machinery orders decline deepened in January. Will the USDJPY price advancing continue?
Japan’s machinery orders decline accelerated in January: the Cabinet Office of Japan reported private-sector machinery orders, excluding volatile ones for ships and those from electric power companies, fell by 3.5% over month in January after 1.2% decrease in December when an 0.1% decline was forecast. It is the steepest decline since late 2023. Orders from the manufacturing sector fell 1.3%, while non-manufacturing orders slumped 7.4%. Machinery orders are important indicator for capital spending, which is essential for economic growth. Indication of lower capital spending is bearish for yen and bullish for USDJPY. At the same time, while Japan’s trade deficit shifted into surplus, it fell short of expectations: the trade balance recorded a surplus of ¥584.5 billion in February from a deficit of ¥415.43 billion in the same month a year earlier, below expectations for a ¥722.8 billion surplus. Slower than expected increase in trade surplus is also bearish for yen and bullish for USDJPY.
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